Posts Tagged ‘Bookmakers’

Corals Ladbrokes Roulette Machine + Online Casino Buster Easy Cash System

Sunday, September 5th, 2010

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Betting Tips and Kelly Criterion in Soccer Betting 2008 Vs 2009

Monday, April 19th, 2010
Betting37 Betting Tips and Kelly Criterion in Soccer Betting 2008 Vs 2009


To be a successful punter in soccer betting, you should intelligently guess two main things: the probability of a win and the size of the stake. Online betting tips and team news can help you to estimate the probability of a win, but choosing the stake size is a more complicated task that requires each punter to decide according to his individual betting strategy.

This article summarizes a research intended to optimize the use of Kelly strategy, the most profitable of all the existing betting strategies. The research is based on a comparison between statistics of betting profits of top European soccer leagues that played during 2008/09 and those playing in 2009/10 seasons.

Data and Methods

The research was conducted based on match results and average betting odds from 60+ bookmakers taken from the following European Soccer leagues: Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier, Dutch Eredivisie, French Ligue 1, German Bundesliga 1, Greek Ethniki Katigoria, Italian Serie A, Scottish Premier, Spanish Primera Division and Turkish Super Lig. Each match outcome receives its own value defined by multiplication: odds x probability of a win. When this value is higher than one, it is considered as a “value bet”. The probability of home win/draw/away wins in this research is defined by the frequency of their appearance in a national tournament. According to Kelly’s strategy, the wager for each outcome is calculated as follows: w * (p-(1-p)/(odds-1)) (w represents the wealth of the punter and p is the probability of a win). For example, if your wealth is 1000$, p is 50% and the odds are 2.5, then the preferable wager is equal to 1000$*(0.5 – 0.5/(2.5-1))=166$ The punter’s profit is calculated by assuming he places a wager according to the Kelly’s strategy for those outcomes whose value is the closest to the value bet defined a priory. An optimal value bet is a bet resulting in a maximal profit for a punter.

Research Summary

According to the research, the optimal value bet for soccer betting is 1.37 (2009) compared to 1.39 (2008). The betting profit of a punter who uses Kelly’s strategy with these optimal value bets is equal to 10% in 2008 and 14% in 2009. The results show that when a punter uses Kelly’s strategy placing bets on the outcomes with an average value bet of 1.38, the betting profits will be maximal. High quality betting tips can increase the profits dramatically but the optimal value bets have to be recalculated to adapt them to the accuracy of your betting tips.

By: Les Kane

About the Author:
SciBet.com is a free online source for soccer betting tips, win probabilities and odds from 60+ bookmakers. If ever your success in soccer betting was close, this is now.



Understanding Betting – All the Different Ways to Make a Bet

Saturday, April 10th, 2010
Betting39 Understanding Betting   All the Different Ways to Make a Bet


There are four major ways to place a bet: at the ‘boards’ or ‘rails’ at a racecourse, on the Tote, at a high street bookmakers, and via the internet or telephone.

1. Betting at the Boards or Rails

The betting ring at any racecourse is made up of two areas of bookmakers: the boards and the rails. The boards stand in the Grandstand section of the racecourse, whilst the rails are located against the rail between the Members and Grandstand enclosures. Most high street bookmakers such as Coral, Ladbrokes and William Hill will have representatives on the rails.

Wagers in the betting ring are mainly for win singles, although some ring bookmakers may accept each-way bets. There will be a minimum bet restriction, and some ring bookmakers may not accept bets less than 5 pounds. Once you have decided which horse (or dog) you think will win, simply make your selection and hand over your money. In return, you will be given a computerised print out to confirm your bet. If you win, wait until the weighed in signal has been sounded, as winning tickets will not usually be paid out until this confirmation has been received.

2. Betting on the Tote

The majority of race going novices choose to make their bets on the Tote (short for Totalisator), as they offer a slightly simpler way to place a bet, and are easy to find and access. They are often located near the bars and restaurants and so do not require a walk to the betting ring.

The major difference between placing a bet in the Betting Ring or with the Tote is that you know the odds in advance of the race starting when you use a bookmaker. This is not the case for the Tote, as it uses a pool betting system.

In this system, all the money wagered on a particular bet goes into a pool. After the Tote has taken out its percentage, the remainder of the money is divided between the winning tickets. The final dividend will only be known once the pool closes at the beginning of the race and no further bets can be taken.

The advantages of the Tote are that as well as offering win and each way bets, they will also offer more exotic bets such as forecasts and placepots, which have higher winning rewards. There is also less mystery surrounding the Tote than the betting ring, which makes it much more approachable to the novice punter.

However, as it is popular with novice bettors, those horses with interesting sounding names or connections, especially on big days, will receive much shorter odds than at the bookmakers.

3. High Street Bookmakers

Although the popular notion of the traditional betting shop is a smoke-filled, murky, slightly daunting place to visit, in real life, they are generally clean, friendly and welcoming. They offer a vast range of betting opportunities, allowing you to wager on sports, novelty bets, virtual horses and dogs as well as fruit machines.

4. Internet and Telephone Betting

Over the last few years there has been a tremendous increase in the amount of telephone and online betting. Both methods offer a quick, convenient way of placing a bet, and allows you to do so from the comfort of your own home.

All of the major high street bookmakers offer telephone and internet betting, and there are a number of independent firms also keen to compete for your business.

Both methods will require you to have a debit or credit card, through which you will pay for any bets, and receive any winnings.

By: Edward Smith

About the Author:
Edward has a huge amount of experience writing for the web and offline publications. His latest writings on wine glasses offer information on riedel wine glasses and port wine glasses.



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